Monday, July 23, 2012

On the prowl for insight into economists

The folks over at The Daily Reckoning are on a mission. Their treasure? Insight. Insight into why it is that the smartest economists in the world are so stupid. Incidentally, they hope to understand why the GDP is such a fraudulent measure of prosperity

By Bill Bonner,?Guest blogger / July 21, 2012

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke appears before the House Financial Services Committee to deliver his twice-a-year report to Congress on the state of the economy, in this July 2012 file photo. Bill Bonner would like to know whether Bernanke really thinks he, personally, can improve the wealth and well-being of the world?s people by tinkering with his interest rates and bank policies.

J. Scott Applewhite/AP

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Yes, dear reader, we are working on a new book. And to save time and effort, we?re working on it right here in the pages of the?Daily Reckoning.

Skip to next paragraph Bill Bonner

Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind The Daily Reckoning (dailyreckoning.com).

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What?s it about? Well, you might think that a writer has an idea? You might think he knows where he is going. Then, he sits down to write it. And that is certainly part of the story. But often the idea is more of an intuition?a vague feeling?a hint that there is some place where it is worth going, in hope of finding treasure. Where? What treasure, exactly? Often, the author doesn?t know.

The treasure we?re looking for is insight. We?re trying to understand why it is that the smartest economists in the world are so stupid.  Incidentally, we hope to understand why GDP is a fraudulent measure of prosperity?and why central banking is a failure?and why the governments of the developed countries are doomed.

There is one simple idea that explains all of this?an idea that is both intuitively self-evident?and demonstrably unrelenting. But we?ll come to it in good time?let?s get back to economists:

Does Ben Bernanke really think he, personally, can improve the wealth and well-being of the world?s people by tinkering with his interest rates and bank policies? Apparently so?

Do Stiglitz, Krugman et al really think they can help the debt-soaked economy to grow by giving it more debt at a cheaper rate? Yes?that?s what they say?

Does Jeffrey Sachs actually believe that he and other smart economists can develop a strategy for the entire world economy? That?s the way it looks?

Yesterday, we took up the role of numbers. The greater the precision, we asserted, the greater the lie. Why? Because these economists really don?t know anything for certain. The best they can do is observe?guess?and hedge their bets with a ?maybe? or a ?possibly.? The more precisely they claim to know something for sure?the greater the distance between what they can actually know and what they claim.

But numbers are to an economist what make-up is to an aging starlet?put on enough of it and maybe the folks won?t see the truth.

Behind every number is a wrinkle? Small numbers hide small ones. Big numbers hide bigger ones. A big number, such as the unemployment rate, has a whole army of other numbers behind it. There are the statistical adjustments?seasonal adjustments?and enough arbitrary definitions to make a corpse look good.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics says that 8.2% of the workforce is unemployed. Simple enough. But what does it mean? What?s the ?workforce?? And what does it mean to be ??unemployed?? Think of all those people who work for cash?like the Latinos you pick up at gas stations for day work. Are they unemployed? How about the guy who couldn?t find a job, so he went back to school? Is he unemployed? What about the housewife who would like to find a job?sort of?but isn?t actively looking for one? Are these people part of the workforce?

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/XvszjC_-8KM/On-the-prowl-for-insight-into-economists

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How Bankruptcy Has an effect on School Loans | Find the Best ...

Give your vehicle a good optimization. Although supplying your vehicle a optimization don?t actually save you money with the pump motor, you?ll save in fuel. Employing less fuel will save you cash over all. Have the acrylic modified, this will let you accredited technician give your motor a 2 times around.

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How Your core mindset is getting what you want! Frame your summarize to offer your company a push to ensure success. Design to help you find out how significantly you?ve come and where you still need check out achieve your formulation for achievement. Generating the amount of money you need to have the life span you?ve wanted to suit your needs and your own house. With all the stand established it is possible to take advantage of the self serve buffet of life. Daily, record the points that must be done in the concern of the relevance. If the record is not completed, no problem, still work with the prime concern things.

Thats a humorous account, nonetheless its astonishing to know the number of men and women find it difficult to pay any more. Rising cost of living is increasing, so the cost of living is going up. Salary are most often freezing soon enough and also the available cash to set aside for the future is quickly melting given that bills are on the rise.

Clearness. With her budget organized, Emily could think a lot more obviously about her finances. She determined how much more cash she must make to get her preferred lifestyle, and in a hostile manner pursued a whole new job. Starting fresh together with her new coworkers, Emily devoted to assembly people who ended up less materialisticand even achieved her fianc.

Source: http://www.thebestsavingsaccount.com/financialadvisor/finance-insurance/how-bankruptcy-has-an-effect-on-school-loans/

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Sunday, July 22, 2012

Breast cancer survivors thrive at SK Sanctuary events | La Jolla Light

By Marti Gacioch

Many women use spa services to gain the powerful benefits of relaxation and healing that such a visit can bring. And perhaps no woman can benefit more from such pampering than a breast cancer survivor. With that thought in mind, La Jolla plastic surgeon, Dr. Stephen M. Krant, M.D., F.A.C. and his wife, Lyn Krant, owners of La Jolla?s SK Sanctuary, open their 7,000 square foot spa every other month to 35 breast cancer survivors for a complimentary evening of spa services.

SK Sanctuary Luau Hula at SK Institute breast cancer night.

?Lyn and I started these survivor nights in 2001 with 13 of my breast cancer reconstructive patients,? Dr. Krant said. ?I had always wanted to do a support group for my patients, so once we opened SK Sanctuary, it was the perfect venue.?

Survivor Night begins with the attendees slipping into SK spa robes before sampling food and drink as they mix with other survivors and share experiences. Each woman can choose from a selection of services, including a facial, hair styling, makeup, pedicure, and manicure or manual lymphatic drainage.

?Each woman must have a letter from her physician before receiving services, and the women walk out feeling pampered and good about themselves,? Dr. Krant said. ?It?s truly a night of nurturing for them.?

The Krant?s initial effort has evolved into their non-profit SK Institute that focuses on education and support, and helps fund the Survivor Nights. So far, they?ve treated 3,500 breast cancer survivors and different groups to spa night, and this October they?ll treat 35 women from the Young Survivors Coalition.

?All of them are under age 40 and it is mind boggling to see a woman walking around with her wig on, and then 20 minutes later see her walking around bald because she has the courage and the security because she?s surrounded by her peer group and now she feels comfortable,? Dr. Krant said.

Survivor Night often features guest speakers, including radio and TV personalities, research scientists, oncologists and breast cancer survivors, such as Mattie Mills, lead singer of The Heroes. Entertainment has included belly dancers, Tibetan drummers, line dancing and a hula luau.

While Survivor Night is fully booked for the July 31 event, breast cancer survivors can still sign up for the September evening at (858) 459-2400.

To contribute to Survivor Night, call the SK Institute at (858) 459-3334 or visit www.skinstitute.org or write info@skinstitute.org

The SK Sanctuary is at 6919 La Jolla Blvd.

Related posts:

  1. Las Manos: Distinctive Art of Mexico and Latin America
  2. News about businesses around La Jolla
  3. La Jolla area researchers work to extend prostate cancer options
  4. A1 Hearing Aid Center comes to La Jolla
  5. Rancho L?Abri offers continuum of care

Short URL: http://www.lajollalight.com/?p=91459

Source: http://www.lajollalight.com/2012/07/20/breast-cancer-survivors-thrive-at-sk-sanctuary-events/

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Saturday, July 21, 2012

You Must Know About a Top Rated Visakhapatnam Hotels ...

What makes a normal Visakhapatnam hotel stand out in the crowd? Read on to find out what makes Hotel Akshaya a top rated Visakhapatnam hotel that you must know about.

Visakhapatnam also known as Visakhapatnam is the second largest city of Andhra Pradesh. It is one of important industrial cities of the state that also attracts a sizeable tourist population for its beautiful beaches and natural beauty. Visakhapatnam is well connected by roads, railways and airways. Sometimes referred to as the Steel City due to its numerous industries, Visakhapatnam attracts a huge number of migrants and businessman. The tourism sector is slowly picking up as tourists are discovering its untouched and pristine beaches and beautiful hills. Some of the beautiful beaches like the Ramakrishna Beach and Rishikonda are a must visit though care should be taken while venturing into the water especially with children. Gangavaram is another beautiful beach that is noted for its rock like projections in the sea that look like islands. Visakhapatnam has a number of shipyards and Naval Museums that you should visit. The Kailasagiri Hill is a popular tourist spot where you can enjoy a breathtaking view of the beaches while travelling on a rope way.

Hotel Akshaya is one of the popular budget hotels in Visakhapatnam and is located close to the railway station and is also close to the main shopping center of the city. This Visakhapatnam hotel enjoys a customer recommendation of nearly 86% which means 9 out of 10 previous guests would love to have a second visit. Customers have also given it a star rating of 4 out of 5 which is testament to its service quality and facilities. When compared to other such budget hotels in Visakhapatnam, Hotel Akshaya emerges a clear winner as it has numerous positive feedbacks praising its location, service and its facilities. Therefore some of the key factors for its popularity could be it?s the hotels hospitable staff have been roundly praised by previous guests for their co operation and promptness in solving any problem faced by guests. One customer has said that ?Staffs are cordial and amicable?.

The hotels facilities and its location are some other highlights of the hotel. It location near the Visakhapatnam railway station ensures that you can save precious time and money. It also makes the hotel easily accessible. The facilities provided by these Visakhapatnam hotels are more than adequate at the given rates.

One of the best hotels in Visakhapatnam, it provides fully air conditioned rooms equipped with all major facilities like attached bath, hot & cold water and cable TV. It also provides a fine multi cuisine restaurant, internet access, travel desk and laundry. The rooms are considered to be good value for money and rates start from Rs.1050.

If you want to further inquire about good hotels in Visakhapatnam Online Booking Services, Please visit our website for booking hotels in India and all major tourist destinations across the country.

Source: http://articlereference.net/travel-leisure/you-must-know-about-a-top-rated-visakhapatnam-hotels.html

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INTERVIEW WITH AUTHOR, TERRY RICHARD BAZES - Book Blogs

INTERVIEW WITH AUTHOR OF, "LIZARD WORLD" TERRY RICHARD BAZES

?

Hello Terry, thank you so much for agreeing to do this interview. It is a pleasure to have the chance to get to know more about you and your writing. First tell us about your newest novel and why you decided to write it.?

Lizard World is ? in a nutshell -- the black comic history of a brain transplant: some Florida yokels kidnap a dentist named Max Smedlow, scoop out his brain and transplant it into the body of an evil and still-surviving 17th-century English Lord. As you can see, this is certainly a horror story. But it is also a protracted joke. After they?ve been surgically connected, the dentist and the lord alternate like Jekyll and Hyde: whenever the dentist?s brain tries to take control of the decrepit body and return to his life filling cavities in suburban New Jersey, the ancient lord interrupts him with three-hundred-year-old memories of his depraved youth when he debauched maidens, ate beggars, schemed to steal a dukedom and underwent excruciating operations that engrafted stolen body parts and cut out his growths of reptilian flesh.

Why did I decide to write this? That is a difficult question ? and I can think of two very different ways of answering it. On the one hand, I can speak about the very slow, intuitive process I went through in order to come up with this particular story. But, on the other hand, I can speak about why I wanted ? in the first place -- to find a story that is both horrible and very funny. And it is this second way of answering your question that seems to lead into deeper waters. For the idea of writing a comic-Gothic novel was born long before I slowly discovered the plot that this comedic horror tale would have.

I think the need to write a story that is both horrible and funny stems from the fact that I think this kind of story is my most sincere expression of how I see life. I am a voice-driven writer ? which is to say that I discover my characters through the way they speak ? and a black-comic plot releases these voices.

Tell us about some of your hobbies, things you like to do in your spare time.?

The only hobby I have now is oil painting. I?m not a very good painter and that?s probably why I like painting so much ? and why it?s so good for me. It allows me to be playful while at the same time (since I know I?ll never be Monet or Cezanne) it frees me from the perfectionism that sometimes afflicts me when I sit down to write. Painting a picture, like writing a novel, is about creating a world. It reminds me that I shouldn?t hesitate to make a cloud or rub one out and, through my very incompetence, that it?s okay to make a mess of things. Although I don?t paint often, I always wonder (when I do paint) why I don?t paint more; for I lose all sense of time ? and, after I finally put my brush down, the canvas always draws me back again like a magnet.

What is the one most rewarding thing in your life right now?

The most rewarding thing in my life? That?s easy: the people I love.

When reading for pleasure do you tend to stick to the same genre you write or do you like to read other genres as well?

Although Lizard World is a black-comic horror novel and so ? sort of ? belongs to the horror genre, I don?t think it should be shelved next to The Shining or Dracula. Instead I hope it might be placed next to other darkly comic fictions ? and these are the kinds of books I mostly read. The modern masters of the comedic voice whom I like most are Nabokov, Thomas Berger, Evelyn Waugh, Aldous Huxley, John Barth, Thomas Pynchon and Martin Amis. Thomas Berger, for example, has written in many different genres ? the whodunit, the western, the spy story etc. ? but it is the comic voice that is the constant. But I do also have a longstanding fascination with the gory delights and nightmarish characters of the Gothic novel and have read most of the masterpieces. I particularly like books that, like Lizard World, fuse the comic and the gothic ? like Patrick McGrath?s The Grotesque, for example.

But I also read entirely different kinds of novels. At least once a year I read a Simenon mystery in French and right now I?m reading Ian Fleming.

I like Tolkien?s and Neil Gaiman?s fantasies and William Gibson?s and Neal Stephenson?s science fiction. All of this reading is certainly always for pleasure, but it?s also always equally for business. That?s because I remain on the lookout for anything that will suggest possibilities for writing a scene or structuring a drama.

When was it that you realized writing was what you wanted to do with your life?

When I was sixteen I became obsessed with writing papers for my English class. I spent hours and hours, sitting at my desk in my room, writing in longhand on a lined pad of yellow paper. I remember how I was always revising, changing words, adding phrases, experimenting with the order of my sentences and ? not with a computer but literally ? cutting and pasting with scissors and scotch tape. I remember one day realizing that I would always be doing this.

When can we expect your next book out and can you give us a sneak peek?

I?ve been working with a brilliant illustrator ? named Lou Netter ? on a graphic novel version of Lizard World. So that?s the next book in the works, although I can?t say exactly when it we?ll set the monster loose. I?m also in the very earliest stages of planning another novel ? and so I have some sketches of a plot, some embryonic characters and some passages of polished prose. But it is much too soon for me to know what it will be and certainly much too soon for me to speak of it. That?s not because I want to be ungenerously secretive, but because my first creative writing teacher told me that it?s ?bad luck? for a writer to talk about a work-in-progress ? and because I?ve come to see the wisdom of that advice. The point is that speaking about a book before it?s had a chance to germinate is like prematurely letting the steam out a pressure cooker. Uncooked ideas have to stay inside the imagination, safe from either the approval or the disapproval of the outside world. Because approval or disapproval can be equally injurious, interfering with judgments and choices that require the clarity of solitude.

Back in your high school career, who was the one teacher you would say made a profound difference in your life, if any?

Yes there was. His name was Robert Cullen and he was, for me at least, the ?catcher in the rye.? Holden Caufield explains that phrase when he says that he?d imagined children playing on a field of rye ? and a grown man standing on the edge, ready to catch anyone about to fall over. Cullen was, I think, the only person I?ve ever known who was enlightened ? in the Zen Buddhist sense of the word. So when I, so to speak, stubbed my toe on the infinite, he was the one who helped me understand. It was because he suggested it that I spent years studying the poetry of William Blake. Cullen almost always wore sunglasses, but when he took them off and looked at you, he had eyes like blue laser beams.

What dreams do you have for future generations that you'd like to share with others?

I am much more drawn to the past than to the future and so I can?t say that I find myself thinking very much about future generations. But if I did dream about future generations, I feel pretty sure that those dreams would be nightmares. I don?t see things getting a whole lot better and think the world to come will much more likely be a dystopia than a utopia. I hope that my sons and their families (if they have them) will grow their own food and establish a self-sufficient sanctuary in the countryside as far as possible from the ugliness and contagion of the larger society. I once was on the coast of northwest Ireland where I was told that, on an island not from there, monks devoted themselves to transcribing the Bible during the dark ages. I think civilized people in the future will have to do pretty much the same thing ? keep the candle burning in the night.

One off the board question I like to ask, is what are your views as far as 2012, and do you believe in the Mayan Calendar??

National Geographic recently reported that a cave has been discovered in an ancient Mayan city ? and that the walls of the cave are covered with paintings, one of which is a calendar that extends the future for at least another 7000 years.

So it seems that even the Mayans didn?t think that the world was going to end in 2012. I think they were probably right.

Finally, do you have any advice you'd like to give to other aspiring authors, also please leave us your links where we can find out more about you.

The advice I?d most like to give to other writers is that they should write for the love of writing itself and not for any other imagined and extraneous benefit.

In other words, don?t write because you think it?s going to make you rich or famous ? or even noticed at all, for that matter. The greatest joy I?ve gotten from writing came to me on those splendid and rare days when, in complete solitude, I had written pages that entirely pleased me. This bliss was sufficient unto itself and didn?t require anyone else?s attention or applause. Above all, trust yourself, your own sense of taste ? and if it tastes good to you, it is.

If you?d like to know more about me, go to my website:?http://terryrichardbazes.com/?I?d be delighted to have you visit.

Thank you again Terry for the ability to do this interview with you. Perhaps we can do more together in the near future.

Source: http://bookblogs.ning.com/xn/detail/2071157%3ABlogPost%3A1675334?xg_source=activity

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Website Hosting SEO to Let You Catch the Limelight on the Internet ...

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It is of utmost importance to choose suitable C Class IPs and then make sure to hide all that relationships, which might expose your business site to search engine scrutiny and the danger lurking thereafter.

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Source: http://myhostingvpsreview.info/21177/website-hosting-seo-to-let-you-catch-the-limelight-on-the-internet/

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Friday, July 20, 2012

Exclusive 10% Off Food And Drink Books At Hive

Post: Exclusive 10% off food and drink books at Hive
Published: July 19th, 2012
Author: Miles Spencer

Save an extra 10% on all books in the Food and Drink category at Hive with an exclusive promotional coupon from VoucherCodes.

Top Food and Drink Releases

How to Bake by Paul Hollywood ? Was ?20.00, now ?16.00
The star of BBC2's The Great British Bake Off reveals the secrets of his craft, busting the myths that surround baking, sharing his finely honed skills and showing that with the right guidance, anybody can achieve success time after time.

River Cottage Veg Every Day! by Hugh Fearnley-Whittingstall ? Was ?25.00, now ?16.00
Hugh has come up with an abundance of veg-tastic recipes, including a warm salad of grilled courgettes, lemon, garlic, mint and mozzarella, a winter giant couscous salad with herbs and walnuts, and linguine with mint and almond pesto.
With over two hundred recipes and vibrant photography from Simon Wheeler, this is a timely eulogy to the glorious green stuff.

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Lorraine Pascale, author of the bestseller Baking Made Easy, is back with her second cookery book.
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In his new book, Jamie proves that, by mastering a few tricks and being organized and focused in the kitchen, it's easy to get a complete meal on the table in just half an hour.
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In his outstanding new cookbook, Gordon Ramsay teams up with Mark Sargeant to showcase the best of British cooking.
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Source: http://www.vouchercodes.com/blog/exclusive-10-off-food-and-drink-books-at-hive-5044

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